Microsimulation of the impacts of tax, social security and public spending changes on living standards, the income distribution, poverty and health: methodological advances and an application to basic income policies

Abstract

This PhD by publication is concerned with modelling and forecasting the effects of tax and welfare policies in the UK as they affect individuals and households. There are three components to the thesis. First, I lay out the basic structure of the Landman Economics Tax-Transfer Model – the model that I have used to analyse tax and welfare reforms since its inception in 2009. I use my analysis of the distributional impact of tax and welfare reforms from 2010 to 2017 (Reed 2020) as an illustrative example. Second, I look at extending the static tax-welfare microsimulation approach in […]